Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.001626 0.001728 0.001834 0.001951 0.002078 0.002211 0.002361
2025-02-23 0.001475 0.001619 0.001773 0.001952 0.002153 0.002375 0.002637
2025-03-02 0.001337 0.001501 0.001683 0.001900 0.002154 0.002442 0.002795
2025-03-09 0.001237 0.001416 0.001618 0.001865 0.002162 0.002509 0.002948
2025-03-16 0.001173 0.001364 0.001585 0.001862 0.002202 0.002609 0.003140
2025-03-23 0.001109 0.001308 0.001542 0.001841 0.002216 0.002675 0.003289
2025-03-30 0.001060 0.001266 0.001512 0.001832 0.002241 0.002753 0.003454
2025-04-06 0.001008 0.001218 0.001472 0.001806 0.002242 0.002798 0.003575
2025-04-13 0.000960 0.001170 0.001429 0.001775 0.002233 0.002828 0.003675
2025-04-20 0.000901 0.001108 0.001365 0.001712 0.002178 0.002792 0.003683
2025-04-27 0.000881 0.001094 0.001362 0.001730 0.002230 0.002901 0.003894
2025-05-04 0.000872 0.001093 0.001375 0.001767 0.002309 0.003050 0.004170
2025-05-11 0.000870 0.001104 0.001407 0.001836 0.002441 0.003288 0.004602
2025-05-18 0.000841 0.001077 0.001388 0.001833 0.002473 0.003386 0.004835
2025-05-25 0.000797 0.001029 0.001337 0.001785 0.002437 0.003381 0.004910
2025-06-01 0.000761 0.000992 0.001299 0.001752 0.002421 0.003405 0.005030
2025-06-08 0.000739 0.000970 0.001283 0.001749 0.002448 0.003494 0.005257
2025-06-15 0.000712 0.000942 0.001256 0.001730 0.002449 0.003542 0.005420
2025-06-22 0.000691 0.000921 0.001238 0.001721 0.002465 0.003615 0.005628
2025-06-29 0.000666 0.000894 0.001211 0.001698 0.002457 0.003646 0.005767
2025-07-06 0.000642 0.000866 0.001181 0.001669 0.002439 0.003661 0.005877
2025-07-13 0.000610 0.000826 0.001132 0.001611 0.002371 0.003591 0.005830
2025-07-20 0.000601 0.000820 0.001132 0.001627 0.002423 0.003721 0.006153